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Empowering cash managers to achieve cost savings by improving predictive accuracy

机译:授权现金经理通过提高预测准确性来节省成本

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摘要

Cash management is concerned with optimizing a company's short-term funding requirements. To this end, various different optimization strategies have been proposed for minimizing costs, using daily cash flow forecasts as the main input to the models. However, the effect of the accuracy of such forecasts on cash management policies has not been studied. This article uses two real data sets from the textile industry to show that the predictive accuracy is highly correlated with cost savings when daily forecasts are used in cash management models. A new method is proposed to help cash managers estimate whether their efforts in improving the predictive accuracy are rewarded by proportional cost savings. Our results indicate the need for an analysis of the potential cost savings derived from improving the predictive accuracy. On that basis, the search for better forecasting models is in place in order to improve cash management.
机译:现金管理与优化公司的短期资金需求有关。为此,已经提出了各种不同的优化策略来最小化成本,使用每日现金流量预测作为模型的主要输入。但是,尚未研究这种预测的准确性对现金管理政策的影响。本文使用了来自纺织行业的两个真实数据集,表明当在现金管理模型中使用每日预测时,预测准确性与节省成本高度相关。提出了一种新的方法来帮助现金管理人员估算成比例的成本节省是否可以奖励他们为提高预测准确性所做的努力。我们的结果表明需要对由于提高预测准确性而节省的潜在成本进行分析。在此基础上,寻求更好的预测模型以改善现金管理。

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